Civilizational Capacity Intelligence

Quantifying energy, compute, and infrastructure readiness.

A single-screen model for estimating Kardeshev progression across companies, states, countries, and global baselines. Adjust power, compute allocation, efficiency, and capital formation to see how quickly an entity can close the gap to Type I capability.

Launch Index Model
0 TWh Modeled annual energy throughput.
0% Energy directed to compute-intensive infrastructure.
0 years Estimated time to Type I threshold under current assumptions.
Core App

Live Index Panel

Interactive scenario controls.

Use scenario presets or tune the assumptions directly. Each control updates the score, timeline, capital estimate, and bottleneck analysis immediately.

Entity Mode
Entity Library
Dataset Action
Output

Capacity Trajectory

Scenario: Baseline
Current Capacity Score 0.000 Weighted index across power, compute, efficiency, and capital readiness.
Tier Classification Pre-Type I Still meaningfully below a civilization-scale energy envelope.
Required Capacity Delta 0 TW Additional average power needed to reach Type I baseline.
Compute-Energy Balance Stable Relative alignment between compute demand and total available energy.
5-Year Score 0.000
10-Year Score 0.000
25-Year Score 0.000
Threshold ETA Pending
Advisory Layer

Constraint Analysis

Auto-generated from current assumptions.
Comparative View

Selected Benchmarks

Peer set comparison.

Compare the active scenario against three major regional baselines and a global reference. Benchmarks use the same model assumptions for a cleaner directional view.

Entity Dossier

Active Record

Local record

Select an entity from the data library to inspect its source class, freshness cadence, and modeling notes.

Entity Type Country Region
Reference Year 2025 Freshness tier
Evidence & Readiness Proxy / Baseline Structured to support future provenance expansion.
Model Note Global Baseline Synthetic global reference used for cross-entity calibration.
Data Foundation

Coverage & Refresh Strategy

Dataset v0.2.0

Manual foundation dataset with fields designed for future near-real-time refreshes.

Total Records 0 Total country and industry entities currently modeled.
Countries 0 Regional and national benchmark records.
Industries 0 Sector-level capacity composites ready for expansion.
As Of 2026-04-08 Embedded benchmark dataset.
Credibility

Methodology

Transparent enough to inspect, compact enough to use.

This model uses a Kardeshev-derived power score as the base signal, then layers bounded modifiers for compute alignment, infrastructure efficiency, capital formation, strategic leverage, resilience, and scale. A bottleneck penalty then reduces the score when key constraints remain binding.

Current entity values are modeled composites and directional proxies. They are useful for comparative analysis, but they should not be treated as audited real-time measurements.

K = (log10(P) - 6) / 10
P = average power draw in watts
Score = Base K + compute + efficiency + capital + leverage + resilience + scale - bottleneck penalty
Power Foundation Annual TWh is converted into average watts, then translated into a Kardeshev-style baseline score.
Scenario Logic Growth compounds with a mild taper over time. Efficiency, capital, leverage, and resilience shape the trajectory.
Constraint Ranking Constraint logic is profile-aware, so compute-heavy sectors and enabling sectors are not penalized in the same way.